Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.346797 4.869548 5.438559 6.105260 6.866699 7.711161 8.721292
2025-02-02 3.680956 4.398578 5.239227 6.302123 7.617784 9.202646 11.271028
2025-02-09 3.224520 4.043090 5.056405 6.414393 8.203823 10.505055 13.727086
2025-02-16 2.888253 3.764153 4.897910 6.491507 8.703329 11.708762 16.177704
2025-02-23 2.628079 3.538925 4.763530 6.556892 9.161008 12.875265 18.703071
2025-03-02 2.341282 3.239397 4.485685 6.374868 9.225424 13.463908 20.432113
2025-03-09 2.135615 3.028487 4.303747 6.299133 9.418958 14.241982 22.529370
2025-03-16 1.958933 2.840219 4.132172 6.212921 9.574195 14.961231 24.608491
2025-03-23 1.889840 2.803198 4.178659 6.461401 10.277239 16.630124 28.520291
2025-03-30 1.768666 2.674833 4.071161 6.449124 10.543623 17.590925 31.304377
2025-04-06 1.651754 2.542710 3.944826 6.390206 10.718243 18.402958 33.916866
2025-04-13 1.487093 2.321578 3.656957 6.030617 10.325469 18.145287 34.411586
2025-04-20 1.409739 2.239152 3.594070 6.059903 10.646087 19.263986 37.882758
2025-04-27 1.368785 2.213827 3.624549 6.256775 11.298114 21.097466 43.155949
2025-05-04 1.316499 2.164888 3.609727 6.368503 11.798400 22.693439 48.190364
2025-05-11 1.263013 2.109518 3.578446 6.445073 12.235709 24.213492 53.318344
2025-05-18 1.212182 2.054824 3.543454 6.509944 12.654328 25.744978 58.747974
2025-05-25 1.131056 1.940200 3.390359 6.329405 12.541971 26.101085 61.337837
2025-06-01 1.071050 1.859879 3.294782 6.254286 12.644022 26.946835 65.325687
2025-06-08 1.014455 1.782146 3.198438 6.168773 12.713421 27.724323 69.275509
2025-06-15 1.002493 1.786921 3.259981 6.415236 13.548805 30.427693 79.059491
2025-06-22 0.960825 1.732455 3.201999 6.403059 13.791076 31.716012 85.071521
2025-06-29 0.916914 1.670934 3.125754 6.344620 13.918247 32.731328 90.482736